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\u25484?\u25569?\u26032?\u20135?\u21697?\u-26492?\u27979?\u32534?\u21046?\u30340?\u21407?\u21017?\u21644?\u26041?\u27861?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u22235?\u12289?\u-26880?\u27714?\u-26492?\u27979?\u31649?\u29702?\u32489?\u25928?\u25351?\u26631?\u30340?\u-28663?\u25321?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u20102?\u-30237?\u20309?\u20026?\u22810?\u32500?\u24230?\u30340?\u-26880?\u27714?\u-26492?\u27979?\u-29756?\u20272?\u-30266?\u-30254?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u20102?\u-30237?\u21508?\u31181?\u-29756?\u20272?\u26041?\u27861?\u20197?\u21450?\u20854?\u21033?\u24330?\u25152?\u22312?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u25484?\u25569?\u24120?\u29992?\u30340?\u-26492?\u27979?\u-29756?\u20272?\u20851?\u-27346?\u25351?\u26631?KPI\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u23398?\u20250?\u22914?\u20309?\u22522?\u20110?\u-30644?\u19994?\u-28663?\u25321?\u26368?\u-28670?\u21512?\u30340?\u-29756?\u20272?\u25351?\u26631?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u20116?\u12289?\u23454?\u25112?\u28436?\u32451?\u20027?\u-26472?\u19968?\u-230?\u32479?\u-29791?\u27169?\u22411?\u23454?\u25112?\u22521?\u-29779?\u21450?\u27169?\u25311?\u32451?\u20064?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u23545?\u32479?\u-29791?\u25216?\u26415?\u30340?\u21512?\u29702?\u24212?\u29992?\u26159?\u-26880?\u27714?\u-26492?\u27979?\u31649?\u29702?\u25152?\u-26782?\u20020?\u30340?\u19968?\u22823?\u25361?\u25112?\u12290?\u26412?\u31456?\u-32126?\u23558?\u-28646?\u-28729?\u31995?\u32479?\u27169?\u25311?\u-244?\u23558?21\u31181?\u32463?\u20856?\u32479?\u-29791?\u25216?\u26415?\u30340?\u19994?\u21153?\u-28613?\u-28783?\u21644?\u24212?\u29992?\u25216?\u24039?\u23436?\u25972?\u-28709?\u-30644?\u21576?\u29616?\u-244?\u23398?\u20250?\u22914?\u20309?\u22522?\u20110?\u21382?\u21490?\u25968?\u25454?\u30340?\u20998?\u24067?\u24577?\u21183?\u-28663?\u25321?\u26368?\u20339?\u27169?\u22411?\u-244?\u20197?\u21450?\u22914?\u20309?\u22522?\u20110?\u32479?\u-29791?\u-29713?\u24046?\u30340?\u21464?\u21270?\u20248?\u21270?\u27169?\u22411?\u21442?\u25968?\u31561?\u22522?\u26412?\u25216?\u24039?\u-244?\u20869?\u23481?\u21253?\u25324?\u-230?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u25484?\u25569?21\u31181?\u32463?\u20856?\u32479?\u-29791?\u25216?\u26415?\u30340?\u22522?\u26412?\u21407?\u29702?\u20197?\u21450?\u24212?\u29992?\u29615?\u22659?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u20102?\u-30237?\u21382?\u21490?\u25968?\u25454?\u20462?\u27491?(Outlier)\u30340?\u22522?\u26412?\u21407?\u29702?\u20197?\u20462?\u27491?\u22240?\u23376?\u30340?\u21512?\u29702?\u-29693?\u25972?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u20102?\u-30237?\u-29301?\u21183?\u-30608?\u20943?\u25216?\u26415?(Damping)\u30340?\u22522?\u26412?\u21407?\u29702?\u20197?\u21450?\u24212?\u29992?\u22330?\u26223?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u20102?\u-30237?\u26032?\u20135?\u21697?\u-26492?\u27979?\u27169?\u22411?(Liking model)\u30340?\u22522?\u26412?\u21407?\u29702?\u21644?\u24212?\u29992?\u25216?\u24039?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u23398?\u20250?\u22914?\u20309?\u22522?\u20110?\u21382?\u21490?\u25968?\u25454?\u-28709?\u-30644?\u-26492?\u27979?\u27169?\u25311?\u21644?\u27169?\u22411?\u20248?\u-28663?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u20102?\u-30237?\u32479?\u-29791?\u-29713?\u24046?\u30340?\u-29791?\u31639?\u21407?\u29702?\u21644?\u24212?\u29992?\u-248?ET, MAD, MAPE, MSE, TS\u-247?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u31532?\u20108?\u22825?\u-230?\u22522?\u20110?\u30495?\u23454?\u19994?\u21153?\u22330?\u26223?\u30340?\u23454?\u25112?\u28436?\u32451?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u20845?\u12289?\u-30644?\u19994?\u26696?\u20363?\u20998?\u20139?\u21644?\u22278?\u26700?\u-29784?\u-29766?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u-28646?\u-28729?\u20225?\u19994?\u24212?\u29992?\u26696?\u20363?\u30340?\u20998?\u20139?\u-244?\u24182?\u32467?\u21512?\u31532?\u19968?\u22825?\u30340?\u29702?\u-29766?\u22521?\u-29779?\u-244?\u28145?\u21051?\u20307?\u-25972?\u20309?\u20026?\u26368?\u20339?\u30340?\u-26880?\u27714?\u-26492?\u27979?\u-28720?\u20316?\u23454?\u-29195?\u12290?\u20998?\u26512?\u26696?\u20363?\u20225?\u19994?\u22312?\u-26880?\u27714?\u-26492?\u27979?\u-26490?\u22495?\u30340?\u31649?\u29702?\u20248?\u21183?\u21644?\u19981?\u-29261?\u20043?\u22788?\u-244?\u24182?\u23601?\u20197?\u19979?\u20027?\u-26472?\u23637?\u24320?\u-29784?\u-29766?\u-230?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u-26880?\u27714?\u-26492?\u27979?\u31649?\u29702?\u-32692?\u-32515?\u-28440?\u-27160?\u24212?\u-29723?\u21521?\u-29695?\u27719?\u25253?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u26377?\u25928?\u30340?\u-26880?\u27714?\u-26492?\u27979?\u24212?\u-29723?\u22312?\u21738?\u20010?\u23618?\u27425?\u19978?\u-225?SKU*\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u22914?\u20309?\u-31817?\u24471?\u21327?\u-29693?\u19968?\u-32268?\u30340?\u-26492?\u27979?\u20197?\u21450?\u23545?\u-29723?\u-26492?\u27979?\u30340?\u25215?\u-29702?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u20309?\u20026?\u26368?\u20339?\u30340?\u20135?\u-27392?\u21327?\u-29693?\u27969?\u31243?\u-244?S&OP\u20250?\u-29778?\u24212?\u-29723?\u26377?\u21738?\u20123?\u20027?\u-26472?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u22914?\u20309?\u22522?\u20110?\u-30644?\u19994?\u29305?\u28857?\u-28663?\u25321?\u26368?\u20339?\u30340?\u32489?\u25928?\u31649?\u29702?\u25351?\u26631?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u20998?\u20139?\u21508?\u-32278?\u20225?\u19994?\u-26880?\u27714?\u-26492?\u27979?\u30340?\u31649?\u29702?\u20307?\u-25972?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u19971?\u12289?\u23454?\u25112?\u28436?\u32451?\u20027?\u-26472?\u20108?\u-230?\u19994?\u21153?\u22330?\u26223?\u25551?\u-28688?\u21644?\u-30254?\u-32142?\u20998?\u-28339?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u22522?\u20110?\u20225?\u19994?\u30495?\u23454?\u19994?\u21153?\u29615?\u22659?\u21644?\u30456?\u20851?\u-32692?\u-32515?\u-30254?\u-32142?\u25645?\u24314?\u-26880?\u27714?\u-26492?\u27979?\u31649?\u29702?\u27169?\u24335?\u-244?\u24182?\u20934?\u22791?\u30456?\u20851?\u19994?\u21153?\u22330?\u26223?\u21644?\u27169?\u25311?\u25968?\u25454?\u-244?\u-29783?\u23398?\u21592?\u20307?\u-25972?\u30495?\u23454?\u19994?\u21153?\u-32564?\u26223?\u19979?\u30340?\u-26880?\u27714?\u31649?\u29702?\u19994?\u21153?\u-28720?\u20316?\u23454?\u-29195?\u12290?\u-28646?\u-28729?\u-28711?\u31181?\u28145?\u24230?\u27169?\u25311?\u-244?\u-29783?\u23398?\u21592?\u-28211?\u26032?\u23457?\u-30266?\u20225?\u19994?\u29616?\u26377?\u-26880?\u27714?\u31649?\u29702?\u20307?\u31995?\u-244?\u25506?\u32034?\u-28670?\u21512?\u20225?\u19994?\u29616?\u-27082?\u27573?\u30340?\u26368?\u20339?\u19994?\u21153?\u27169?\u24335?\u12290?\u22312?\u26412?\u29615?\u-32126?\u20013?\u-244?\u25105?\u20204?\u23558?\u27169?\u25311?\u30456?\u20851?\u19994?\u21153?\u-32692?\u-32515?\u-244?\u23558?\u23398?\u21592?\u20998?\u25104?\u-32027?\u24178?\u23567?\u32452?\u-244?\u20307?\u-25972?\u23436?\u25972?\u-27155?\u29615?\u30340?\u23454?\u25112?\u28436?\u32451?\u27969?\u31243?\u-229?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u20843?\u12289?\u23454?\u25112?\u28436?\u32451?\u20027?\u-26472?\u19977?\u-230?\u-26880?\u27714?\u-26492?\u27979?\u-28720?\u20316?\u27969?\u31243?\u27169?\u25311?\u28436?\u31034?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u-29774?\u24072?\u23558?\u20026?\u23398?\u21592?\u23601?\u-26492?\u27979?\u27969?\u31243?\u20570?\u22521?\u-29779?\u21644?\u28436?\u31034?\u-244?\u-29783?\u23398?\u21592?\u20102?\u-30237?\u20309?\u20026?\u-26492?\u27979?\u27969?\u31243?\u30340?\u26368?\u20339?\u19994?\u21153?\u23454?\u-29195?\u-244?\u-28646?\u-28729?\u20102?\u-30237?\u21382?\u21490?\u25968?\u25454?\u26356?\u26032?\u-244?\u21382?\u21490?\u25968?\u25454?\u28165?\u27927?\u-244?\u-28720?\u-30644?\u22522?\u20934?\u-26492?\u27979?\u-244?\u19994?\u21153?\u-28440?\u-27160?\u21327?\u21516?\u-26492?\u27979?\u-248?\u21253?\u25324?\u20419?\u-27392?\u-26492?\u27979?\u30340?\u32534?\u21046?\u-247?\u-244?\u-26492?\u27979?\u23457?\u26680?\u21644?\u-26492?\u27979?\u20998?\u26512?\u-29756?\u20272?\u31561?\u31561?\u20851?\u-27346?\u-26492?\u27979?\u32534?\u21046?\u27493?\u-25948?\u-244?\u25484?\u25569?\u-26880?\u27714?\u-26492?\u27979?\u31649?\u29702?\u20013?\u26368?\u26680?\u24515?\u30340?\u27969?\u31243?\u20307?\u31995?\u-244?\u21516?\u26102?\u25351?\u23548?\u21518?\u32493?\u30340?\u23454?\u25112?\u28436?\u32451?\u-229?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u20061?\u12289?\u23454?\u25112?\u28436?\u32451?\u20027?\u-26472?\u22235?\u-230?\u-26880?\u27714?\u-26492?\u27979?\u32534?\u21046?\u20197?\u21450?S&OP\u20250?\u-29778?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u22312?\u26412?\u31456?\u-32126?\u20013?\u-244?\u25152?\u26377?\u23398?\u21592?\u23558?\u22522?\u20110?\u20854?\u25152?\u20195?\u-30616?\u30340?\u-32692?\u-32515?\u-30254?\u-32142?\u25353?\u-29762?\u-29791?\u30340?\u19994?\u21153?\u22330?\u26223?\u21644?\u27969?\u31243?\u27493?\u-25948?\u-28709?\u-30644?\u-26492?\u27979?\u27169?\u25311?\u28436?\u32451?\u-244?\u21253?\u25324?S&OP\u20250?\u-29778?\u27969?\u31243?\u30340?\u27169?\u25311?\u12290?\u25152?\u28041?\u21450?\u30340?\u19994?\u21153?\u-30254?\u-32142?\u21253?\u25324?\u-230?\u19994?\u21153?\u21592?\u-244?\u-27392?\u21806?\u24635?\u30417?\u-244?\u24066?\u22330?\u-28440?\u-244?\u20379?\u24212?\u-27394?\u-28440?\u-27160?\u-244?\u24635?\u32463?\u29702?\u20197?\u21450?\u-29406?\u21153?\u-28440?\u-27160?\u-244?\u21487?\u20197?\u25353?\u20844?\u21496?\u31649?\u29702?\u26550?\u26500?\u-28709?\u-30644?\u-28663?\u25321?\u31561?\u12290?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u21313?\u12289?\u23454?\u25112?\u20307?\u-25972?\u20998?\u20139?\u-244?\u-29784?\u-29766?\u21644?\u24635?\u32467?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u21508?\u23567?\u32452?\u23558?\u22522?\u20110?\u23454?\u25112?\u27169?\u25311?\u20307?\u-25972?\u-244?\u32467?\u21512?\u20844?\u21496?\u23454?\u-27067?\u19994?\u21153?\u-28709?\u-30644?\u-29784?\u-29766?\u-230?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u24635?\u32467?\u22312?\u23454?\u25112?\u28436?\u32451?\u20013?\u25152?\u-28601?\u21040?\u30340?\u-27154?\u-26472?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 \u23545?\u26368?\u20339?\u-26880?\u27714?\u-26492?\u27979?\u23454?\u-29195?\u30340?\u29702?\u-30237?\par\pard\plain\s0\fi400\li0\ri0\sb80\sl300\plain\f0\fs22 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